📊 End-of-Month Projection
Smart Energy Budget Projection
See your end-of-month energy bill mid-month, built from the measured consumption series, the day-of-week pattern and outdoor-temperature sensitivity.
Algorithm
How It Works
Measured Series Is Authority
Consumption measured from the start of the month is the base of the projection. Last year is only a reference for the seasonal pattern.
Weather Correlation
Temperature-consumption correlation coefficients are learned from facility data. Hot/cold weather is immediately reflected in the updated forecast.
Occupancy Factor
In hospitals, hotels, and shopping centres, occupancy rate directly affects consumption. Included in the forecast via API or manual input.
Real-Time Correction
Actual consumption from the first week of the month is applied as a projection coefficient for the remaining weeks.
13 months
Data history used
r²≥0,40
Weather-factor gate
Daily
Update frequency
PDF
CFO report format
FAQ
Projection Questions
How is the end-of-month projection calculated?
The authoritative source is the consumption series measured from the start of the month to today. Remaining days are carried forward using the day-of-week pattern and a recency-weighted daily pace. Outdoor temperature is applied only when the sensitivity measured for that facility is statistically meaningful (r²≥0.40); otherwise no multiplier is used. Unit price is carried forward flat until an official invoice or tariff row arrives — no speculative increase is added.
How is projection done for a new facility?
If no historical data exists, sector averages are used for the first 3 months. Once 3 months of real data have accumulated, the system automatically switches to its own data.
How often is the projection updated?
The next 30-day forecast is updated every night at midnight. Weather data is fetched every 6 hours.
How is it exported to the CFO report?
Argus generates the monthly budget projection report as a PDF and automatically sends it to the CFO mailing list.